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Why The US Needs Mexico: Replacing Chinese Manufacturing

Thought Leader: Peter Zeihan
October 12, 2023

If you’re an American considering picking up a new language and have narrowed it down to Chinese or Spanish – it should be a no-brainer. As China slips into utter collapse, our southern neighbors will pick up the slack and “hola” will get you much farther than “nǐ hǎo”.

As the US pulls manufacturing from China, we’ll look to Mexico City to fill that void. This region not only holds over half of Mexico’s population but also represents the largest untapped workforce globally. So, the workforce is there, but we’re still missing a couple of pieces of the puzzle.

A massive industrial buildout will have to happen for this transition to work – and quick, too. I’m talking about new rail and border infrastructure, beefing up the I-35 corridor and improving connections within the US manufacturing industry.

If the US and Mexico can execute this buildout within the next five years, finding an alternative to Chinese manufacturing will be much easier. However, if the two amigos don’t get aggressive soon, we might have to throw a couple more languages into the curriculum.

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