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Niall Ferguson: Who Will Win the Israel-Iran War?

Thought Leader: Niall Ferguson
June 17, 2025

It’s the fourth day in the war between Iran and Israel. Israel’s strikes have taken out almost the entire leadership of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and have damaged—but not destroyed—Iran’s nuclear facilities. Iran has retaliated by launching a wave of nearly 300 ballistic missiles at civilian Israeli areas. The barrage from both sides has yet to let up.

We’re left with many questions: Can the West win this war—and dismantle Iran’s nuclear program? Can Israel do it on its own? Will it need direct U.S. support? How is the internal fight inside the White House over American involvement shaping the response? How does this conflict fit into the broader struggle with China and Russia? And more fundamentally, how did we get here?

Bari Weiss sat down with Free Press columnist Niall Ferguson and veteran foreign correspondent Dexter Filkins for an in-depth look at the war between Israel and Iran, what’s unfolding on the ground, and what it means for the region and the world.

WWSG exclusive thought leader Sir Niall Ferguson is one of the world’s foremost historians of economics, international relations, and global power. His incisive analysis illuminates the geopolitical forces and economic undercurrents shaping the 21st century. From great power competition to emerging security challenges, Ferguson offers unparalleled historical context and strategic insight — helping global leaders, policymakers, and business executives anticipate what lies ahead. To invite Sir Niall Ferguson to your next event, contact WWSG.

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